Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.086723 0.100232 0.115146 0.132833 0.153238 0.176047 0.203486
2026-01-04 0.066368 0.084739 0.107095 0.136309 0.173500 0.219302 0.280065
2026-01-11 0.055222 0.075598 0.102146 0.139277 0.189920 0.256667 0.351501
2026-01-18 0.047075 0.068213 0.097327 0.140369 0.202465 0.288961 0.418925
2026-01-25 0.040183 0.061163 0.091481 0.138507 0.209733 0.313812 0.477959
2026-02-01 0.034134 0.054291 0.084700 0.133936 0.211826 0.330622 0.526279
2026-02-08 0.030765 0.050939 0.082590 0.135888 0.223622 0.362766 0.601197
2026-02-15 0.027675 0.047559 0.079909 0.136398 0.232870 0.391511 0.673511
2026-02-22 0.025296 0.045008 0.078187 0.138124 0.244066 0.424278 0.755806
2026-03-01 0.022503 0.041372 0.074163 0.135329 0.247006 0.443128 0.815794
2026-03-08 0.020195 0.038301 0.070735 0.133101 0.250527 0.463081 0.879567
2026-03-15 0.018711 0.036555 0.069458 0.134586 0.260866 0.496138 0.970852
2026-03-22 0.017928 0.036079 0.070532 0.140734 0.280909 0.549722 1.108257
2026-03-29 0.016894 0.034996 0.070336 0.144410 0.296608 0.596799 1.238613
2026-04-05 0.015905 0.033874 0.069920 0.147554 0.311517 0.643779 1.373963
2026-04-12 0.014812 0.032403 0.068625 0.148710 0.322397 0.683662 1.498918
2026-04-19 0.013542 0.030401 0.066003 0.146738 0.326379 0.709566 1.596746
2026-04-26 0.012162 0.027997 0.062262 0.141895 0.323540 0.720572 1.662920
2026-05-03 0.011484 0.027088 0.061666 0.143963 0.336271 0.766696 1.813262
2026-05-10 0.010751 0.025965 0.060465 0.144504 0.345540 0.805988 1.952133
2026-05-17 0.010172 0.025140 0.059852 0.146332 0.357980 0.853721 2.116202
2026-05-24 0.009329 0.023578 0.057354 0.143371 0.358614 0.873901 2.215670
2026-05-31 0.008602 0.022222 0.055201 0.141010 0.360443 0.897074 2.325104